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Posted on Nov. 11, 2009
By Michael J. Economides
Fujian Refinery Comes On Stream As Chinese Auto Sales Soar

A new 240,000 barrel-per-day refinery in China’s Fujian Province is essentially on line, starting this week. And it is coming on line at the same time that car sales in China are heading toward the stratosphere. The deal that led to the refinery construction was signed in February 2007 and it was a landmark event, the first ever of its kind, as it joined a major Chinese oil company (Sinopec), the biggest multinational (Exxon Mobil) and the world’s biggest supplier of crude (Saudi Aramco). It was supposed to usher a new era in transnational oil cooperation. The refinery is in Quanzhou, in Fujian Province in the south of China. The partners were a diverse threesome but one made in oil heaven. The Chinese were getting a modern refinery they needed badly. Many of their other refineries, technologically obsolete and inefficient, were running at over 90 percent capacity. Exxon Mobil, shut out of Russia and Venezuela, was eager to enter into a high-visibility project in a high-impact market and Aramco was all too eager to play the godfather role. The deal clearly could not have been consummated had it not been for Saudi oil. In the manner that has been all too characteristic of major Chinese projects, the refinery was completed pretty much on schedule and slightly over budget. In 2007 it was announced that it would cost $3.5 billion. Eventually it cost $4.5 billion. The joke among China hands goes like this: If the Americans and the Chinese start talking about a major project today, in two years the Chinese will be done and the Americans will still be talking and applying for permits. It should not be surprising that Exxon Mobil, a premier company in its field like few others in their respective fields, vilified in the green-house-gases-solar-and-wind-obsessed United States will find a lot of work in energy hungry China. The Fujian refinery will not be the last of its kind. Expansion is already under way to double its capacity within a few years. The need for new refineries in China is compelling. Only this week it was announced that its oil demand increased by 12.5 percent in September from last year. This is the sixth month that oil demand has increased since last year and September’s rate of increase is the fastest since June 2006. Energy demand becomes obvious since the Chinese are again inching towards double digit economic growth. Even more telling is that also this week it was announced that China’s October auto sales increased by 72 percent (!!!) from a year ago, selling 1.2 million cars. By comparison US auto sales in October totaled 838,000. Thus, Chinese auto sales out-paced those of the US by 50 percent. Even for those of us that work in China and have first-hand knowledge of its energy picture, these are stunning figures.
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