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Posted on May. 04, 2009

Obama’s Energy Radicalism

President Barack Obama pauses as he speaks at the Fiscal Responsibility Summit. Photo by Pablo Martinez Monsivais: AP

Only a few years ago radical environmentalists would have been more circumspect in their energy pronouncements than members of the Obama Administration, many of whom seem to want to govern by slogan and sound bite rather than reality.

Things have been happening in rapid fire and it seems now abundantly clear that the recession, economic crisis and economic stimulus will be used as a cover to pass measures that, if enacted, would have a major negative impact on our lifestyles and our economy for decades to come.

On April 17 the EPA declared what many had hoped and others dreaded: that there is “overwhelming and compelling evidence“ that “greenhouse gases in the atmosphere endanger the public health of current and future generations.” In spite of a growing chorus of skeptical scientists on the causes of global climate change and even more objections on the expected effects, the EPA went on to adopt the most strident and alarmist presumed catastrophes from climate change such as rising sea levels, wildfires, hurricanes and degraded air quality.

Under attack is carbon dioxide, the product from the combustion of hydrocarbons (fossil fuels such as oil, natural gas and coal) from which 87 percent of the world’s and America’s energy supply comes. The Obama Administration seems to be unmoved by the fact that according to almost all estimates, by the year 2030, while the world energy demand will increase by 50 percent, oil, gas and coal will still account for 87 percent of world energy.

While international pressure is often cited for the recent government actions, in this era of American self-flagellation, one thing should be made abundantly clear: global warming rhetoric has always been largely a frontal attack on the US, its lifestyle and its apparent success compared to other countries, especially in Europe. It is clearly ironic that Pravda, the former official instrument of the Soviet communist party has implored the US to stop “carbon communism.”

The EPA of course does not offer solutions to the 87 percent problem and defers to Congress to do so. Surely Congress will find the right solution from a position of knowledge as demonstrated by the honorable Nancy Pelosi who on NBC’s Meet the Press said “I believe in natural gas as a clean, cheap alternative to fossil fuels,” and lest one thought she misspoke, she went on to say in the same interview that natural gas “is cheap, abundant and clean compared to fossil fuels.”

In an April 4 Newsweek guest editorial, Secretary of Energy Steven Chu also proved that -- his Nobel Prize notwithstanding -- common sense and rudimentary knowledge are lacking. First he did not offer one sentence on securing the 87 percent of energy supplies that the US needs other than to discuss “advanced biofuels.”

People hate to hear statistics like this but biofuels have a negative energy balance: they require more energy to produce than their consumption provides. And even ignoring this science, if we were to use all of the corn grown in the US to produce motor vehicle fuel, without regard to what that would do to food prices, it would still be less than 20 percent of our gasoline demand and a lot of the world would go hungry.

Chu also went on to say “we must move beyond oil because the science on global warming is clear and compelling: greenhouse-gas emissions, primarily from fossil fuels, have started to change our climate. We have a responsibility to future generations to reduce those emissions to spare our planet the worst of the possible effects.” His main solution? Conservation as “the most direct way to reduce our dependency on foreign oil is to simply use less of it.”

“Let’s just become less” seems to be this administration’s mantra and it has many adherents all over the world, especially when it refers to the US. This in spite of the fact that beyond ideological feel-good there is no evidence historical or otherwise that conservation can reduce energy consumption. In fact the opposite is true. Energy conservation and efficiency in one sector has led to increase in total energy demand, finding new uses of energy such as the internet and next-day package delivery.

People the world over have identified the use of energy as perhaps the single most important factor for a better life. But according to Chu, the answer is this simple. “All Americans can strike a blow for energy independence by choosing to buy fuel-efficient cars, take public transit or join a carpool.”

There is some merit to another suggestion by him: electrical cars, but he destroys the notion when he writes “generating that electricity from clean, renewable sources like solar and wind power.”

Another dreaded statistic: if we triple current electricity output from wind every year for the next 20 years, it will still be less than 20 percent of the nation’s electricity demand.

Not to be outdone in slogan-style exaggeration, Secretary of the Interior Ken Salazar chimed in. On April 6, while in Atlantic City to discuss America’s offshore energy resources, Salazar, the Wall Street Journal reported, “raised eyebrows when he said offshore wind farms could replace 3,000 coal-fired plants.” Never mind that the US only has 600 of them. He also claimed that offshore wind in the Atlantic could deliver 1,000 gigawatts of capacity – approximately equal to the entire electric generation capacity of the US.

Even by the accounts made by vested interests (such as wind turbine manufacturers), offshore and onshore wind farms, which internationally now account for an almost imperceptible fraction of wind power the total of which is less than 0.4 percent of electricity production, may account for 5 to 7 percent of electricity after many decades. Salazar’s statement should raise a lot more than eyebrows.

One has to wonder what are the motivations of this “gusher of lies” which surely falls under psychobabble rather than energy policy? Why is it that potential changes, which would take many decades to accomplish, are presented as imminent solutions? I can find no answer to such nonsense.

Let me make two predictions which for most who understand energy may generate chuckles for the dearth of daring: By the end of Obama’s first term, oil consumption in the US will rise and the imported portion of that consumption will increase.

In the meantime never underestimate the power of politicians to sound ridiculous and out of touch with reality. But do underestimate their ability to replace carbon-based energy – even a portion of it – in our lifetimes.

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Article Comments:
Tiffany
Posted: 12/21/2009 06:44 PM by mxcm 428

your article is excellent,i really love it. hoping to read your following post

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tiffany

Tiffany Co

Tiffanys

Tiffany and co  
 

Fine Article
Posted: 05/15/2009 08:57 AM by William R. Edwards

I won't quibble with your arithmetic. You are on target with your message, and I will add that Obama's mistakes will prevent him from having a second term.  
 
Environmental Catch 22
Posted: 05/05/2009 03:32 AM by Zachary Moitoza

The sad fact is that the fossil fuel industries are some of the most powerful industries in the world, and when the left opposes them by proposing wind, solar, biomass & efficiency, they waste their efforts. The fossil fuel industries know that only nuclear power can phase them out, which could be why the Integral Fast Reactor was cancelled in 1994. This reactor is 100 to 300 times as fuel efficient, and could he been fueled by material recovered from today's used nuclear fuel. Some of the greens, like James Hansen and Mark Lynas, are now starting to "get it." But I fear change is happening too slowly for it to be "change we can believe in," given the statements we hear form our politicians.  
 
Whoops
Posted: 05/05/2009 03:21 AM by Zachary Moitoza

The author understands energy, but not compound interest. He says "Another dreaded statistic: if we triple current electricity output from wind every year for the next 20 years, it will still be less than 20 percent of the nation’s electricity demand.

Amazingly, if we did this, wind would provide us with one million times our current electricity! It's no wonder Einstein said that compound interest is the most powerful force in the universe!

Wind is 0.8% of our electricity right now. After the first year we would be at 2.4%. Then 7.2 Then 21.6 Then 64.8 194.4 583.3... it would be just shy of one million after 20 exponential leaps!

 
 

  
 
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